PnL (30d)

−$99

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-9.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

62%

395W / 244L

Win Return (30d)

62%

395W / 244L

Trades (30d)

639

across 7 markets · ~91 per market

EV / position

−$14.19

avg win $15 · loss $52

Profit Factor

0.37

$58 won / $157 lost

Reward / Risk

0.28

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$99

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	33.7% 6,388W/12,569L	364	$48,914
₿ Crypto	14.7% 274W/1,591L	38	$3,016
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/518L	7	$1,356
🎬 Culture	48.7% 214W/225L	4	$1,415
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/518L	4	$1,325

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

39 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	24	0.335	$8.04	$0.13	+1.7%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Yes	155	0.045	$6.98	$-0.78	-10.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	12	0.545	$6.75	$0.23	+3.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	42	0.155	$6.51	$1.47	+29.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	13	0.505	$6.42	$0.04	+0.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	38	0.155	$5.93	$-0.83	-12.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	7	0.795	$5.44	$0.70	+14.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	104	0.045	$4.68	$-4.76	-50.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	40	0.115	$4.64	$0.72	+18.5%
Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 NL Central title?	Yes	412	0.009	$3.50	$-0.73	-17.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	26	0.105	$2.73	$-0.52	-16.0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	194	0.013	$2.52	$-0.58	-18.8%
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	244	0.005	$1.34	$-0.46	-25.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	55	0.024	$1.32	$-7.48	-85.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	31	0.043	$1.31	$0.04	+3.0%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	50	0.025	$1.23	$-1.77	-59.2%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	219	0.005	$1.20	$-0.11	-8.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	15	0.080	$1.20	$-2.36	-66.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	55	0.021	$1.18	$-4.32	-78.6%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	10	0.115	$1.15	$-2.05	-64.1%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	99	0.011	$1.14	$-0.30	-20.7%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	268	0.004	$0.94	$-13.08	-93.3%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	10	0.080	$0.80	$-0.90	-52.9%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	222	0.004	$0.78	$-11.91	-93.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	10	0.075	$0.75	$-0.75	-50.0%