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Trader leaderboard/ox825C9a38d7033Fc2f9d82432d3A1742C38EAdfa0

ox825C9a38d7033Fc2f9d82432d3A1742C38EAdfa0

0x825c9a38d7033fc2f9d82432d3a1742c38eadfa0
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$23
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$543
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
59%
17W / 12L · 103 open
Win Return (30d)
21%
28W / 103L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
132
across 36 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$2.25
avg win $7 · loss $1
Profit Factor
4.51
$29 won / $6 lost
Reward / Risk
6.76
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $763 · all-time $63,652

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 36.3% 69W/121L 73 $5,180
🏛 Politics 16 $806

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 86 0.987 $84.90 $0.96 +1.1%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No 60 0.795 $47.65 $-0.29 -0.6%
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? No 39 0.760 $29.91 $-0.70 -2.3%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No 56 0.515 $28.72 $-3.99 -12.2%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No 309 0.085 $26.27 $-11.68 -30.8%
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? No 24 0.925 $22.49 $0.15 +0.7%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No 48 0.410 $19.82 $3.87 +24.2%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No 41 0.325 $13.20 $-0.58 -4.2%
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 123 0.105 $12.89 $-5.95 -31.6%
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? Yes 14 0.930 $12.85 $0.97 +8.1%
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? Yes 54 0.225 $12.18 $-4.62 -27.5%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 68 0.135 $9.19 $-0.83 -8.3%
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes 54 0.105 $5.70 $-2.44 -30.0%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes 13 0.410 $5.32 $1.04 +24.2%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes 59 0.085 $5.04 $0.17 +3.6%
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? No 49 0.095 $4.67 $-2.01 -30.1%
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? Yes 25 0.155 $3.81 $0.32 +9.3%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 20 0.153 $3.09 $-0.23 -6.8%
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 12 0.235 $2.94 $0.44 +17.5%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? No 3 0.829 $2.59 $-0.21 -7.5%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes 31 0.075 $2.34 $-2.05 -46.7%
Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 69 0.034 $2.30 $-3.35 -59.3%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? Yes 2 0.992 $2.09 $0.31 +17.5%
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes 10 0.165 $1.69 $0.09 +5.5%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes 68 0.024 $1.61 $-1.58 -49.5%