| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.960 |
$10.01 |
$-0.05 |
-0.5% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
19 |
0.460 |
$8.93 |
$1.43 |
+19.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.835 |
$8.09 |
$1.04 |
+14.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
26 |
0.250 |
$6.48 |
$-0.14 |
-2.1% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.675 |
$6.45 |
$0.45 |
+7.6% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
22 |
0.255 |
$5.57 |
$-4.43 |
-44.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
7 |
0.785 |
$5.19 |
$3.19 |
+159.6% |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? |
Yes |
6 |
0.805 |
$4.85 |
$0.85 |
+21.2% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
Yes |
31 |
0.125 |
$3.81 |
$-1.19 |
-23.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.905 |
$3.67 |
$0.67 |
+22.3% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
Yes |
15 |
0.210 |
$3.22 |
$-2.78 |
-46.4% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
4 |
0.875 |
$3.16 |
$0.16 |
+5.4% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.962 |
$3.15 |
$0.15 |
+5.1% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
Yes |
5 |
0.606 |
$3.15 |
$1.15 |
+57.4% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.930 |
$3.06 |
$1.06 |
+53.2% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.220 |
$2.38 |
$-0.62 |
-20.7% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.989 |
$2.27 |
$0.27 |
+13.7% |
| Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
14 |
0.135 |
$1.93 |
$0.93 |
+92.9% |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
No |
2 |
0.918 |
$1.87 |
$-0.13 |
-6.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
4 |
0.445 |
$1.75 |
$-0.25 |
-12.7% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
8 |
0.210 |
$1.70 |
$-3.30 |
-66.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
8 |
0.215 |
$1.61 |
$-4.24 |
-72.4% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? |
Yes |
4 |
0.430 |
$1.57 |
$-0.43 |
-21.7% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.280 |
$1.40 |
$0.40 |
+40.0% |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.485 |
$1.35 |
$0.35 |
+34.7% |