| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
2,800 |
0.790 |
$2,213.40 |
$813.40 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
2,800 |
0.209 |
$586.60 |
$-813.40 |
-58.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
353 |
0.845 |
$297.86 |
$33.72 |
+12.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
245 |
0.455 |
$111.47 |
$-10.02 |
-8.3% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.915 |
$91.50 |
$3.50 |
+4.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.885 |
$88.50 |
$9.00 |
+11.3% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
90 |
0.595 |
$53.55 |
$1.35 |
+2.6% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
Yes |
50 |
0.915 |
$45.75 |
$3.25 |
+7.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
30 |
0.905 |
$27.15 |
$2.55 |
+10.4% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
100 |
0.265 |
$26.50 |
$-11.50 |
-30.3% |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.985 |
$19.70 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
29 |
0.680 |
$19.46 |
$-0.45 |
-2.2% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? |
No |
17 |
0.984 |
$17.02 |
$0.22 |
+1.3% |
| Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
No |
19 |
0.885 |
$16.82 |
$1.80 |
+12.0% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
18 |
0.952 |
$16.75 |
$0.58 |
+3.6% |
| Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
No |
18 |
0.890 |
$16.28 |
$1.28 |
+8.5% |
| Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
No |
11 |
0.994 |
$10.93 |
$0.35 |
+3.3% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
11 |
0.987 |
$10.64 |
$0.64 |
+6.4% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
12 |
0.886 |
$10.48 |
$0.48 |
+4.8% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.935 |
$10.27 |
$0.27 |
+2.7% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
11 |
0.961 |
$10.25 |
$0.25 |
+2.5% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
14 |
0.715 |
$10.21 |
$0.21 |
+2.1% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
11 |
0.905 |
$10.07 |
$0.07 |
+0.7% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.825 |
$9.94 |
$-0.06 |
-0.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-02 House seat? |
Yes |
11 |
0.935 |
$9.84 |
$-0.16 |
-1.6% |