PnL (30d)

−$12

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-8.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

60%

6W / 4L · 2 open

Win Return (30d)

50%

6W / 6L

Trades (30d)

12

across 8 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$2.05

avg win $6 · loss $10

Profit Factor

0.61

$19 won / $31 lost

Reward / Risk

0.61

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$10

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	60.0% 6W/4L	8	$164
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$55
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$10
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?	No	47	0.931	$44.19	$-0.89	-2.0%
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	20	0.795	$15.65	$6.79	+76.7%
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	100	0.130	$13.00	$-17.00	-56.7%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?	Yes	3	0.065	$0.20	$-0.83	-81.0%