| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
86 |
0.245 |
$21.07 |
$-3.77 |
-15.2% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
25 |
0.685 |
$17.20 |
$-0.62 |
-3.5% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
7 |
0.984 |
$7.14 |
$0.46 |
+7.0% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
Yes |
8 |
0.710 |
$5.88 |
$-1.24 |
-17.4% |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.966 |
$5.68 |
$-0.02 |
-0.4% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
13 |
0.255 |
$3.37 |
$-0.91 |
-21.3% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
5 |
0.606 |
$3.25 |
$-1.03 |
-24.1% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
3 |
0.983 |
$3.11 |
$0.20 |
+6.8% |
| Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06? |
Yes |
3 |
0.971 |
$3.07 |
$-0.01 |
-0.2% |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
4 |
0.716 |
$2.99 |
$-0.63 |
-17.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
Yes |
29 |
0.095 |
$2.80 |
$-1.04 |
-27.1% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
31 |
0.080 |
$2.49 |
$-5.89 |
-70.3% |
| Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? |
No |
2 |
0.998 |
$1.97 |
$-0.00 |
-0.2% |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
No |
2 |
0.918 |
$1.90 |
$-0.12 |
-6.0% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.353 |
$1.67 |
$-0.23 |
-12.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
12 |
0.135 |
$1.64 |
$-1.16 |
-41.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
2 |
0.845 |
$1.33 |
$1.00 |
+302.4% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
7 |
0.185 |
$1.24 |
$-0.77 |
-38.3% |
| Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
1 |
0.905 |
$1.06 |
$0.03 |
+2.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
28 |
0.038 |
$1.06 |
$-0.65 |
-38.1% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
Yes |
2 |
0.606 |
$1.05 |
$0.36 |
+51.7% |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31? |
Yes |
1 |
0.988 |
$1.01 |
$0.00 |
+0.3% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
Yes |
5 |
0.210 |
$0.97 |
$-0.50 |
-34.1% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
4 |
0.210 |
$0.92 |
$-1.74 |
-65.3% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.260 |
$0.88 |
$-0.14 |
-13.3% |