| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
175 |
0.461 |
$80.59 |
$-46.76 |
-36.7% |
| Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.905 |
$45.25 |
$6.75 |
+17.5% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
30 |
0.927 |
$27.82 |
$2.42 |
+9.5% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.852 |
$25.56 |
$4.88 |
+23.6% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.987 |
$19.73 |
$1.05 |
+5.6% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
25 |
0.745 |
$18.62 |
$3.38 |
+22.1% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
No |
20 |
0.765 |
$15.30 |
$0.50 |
+3.4% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
21 |
0.635 |
$13.30 |
$-0.26 |
-1.9% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.515 |
$10.27 |
$-1.69 |
-14.2% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
No |
10 |
0.945 |
$9.45 |
$2.25 |
+31.2% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.939 |
$9.39 |
$1.07 |
+12.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
13 |
0.675 |
$9.04 |
$-0.95 |
-9.5% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
10 |
0.865 |
$8.65 |
$-0.15 |
-1.7% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
10 |
0.855 |
$8.55 |
$1.25 |
+17.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.835 |
$8.35 |
$0.25 |
+3.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.395 |
$7.90 |
$1.50 |
+23.4% |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
10 |
0.715 |
$7.15 |
$-0.05 |
-0.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.905 |
$5.73 |
$0.73 |
+14.6% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.285 |
$5.70 |
$0.30 |
+5.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.515 |
$5.64 |
$-0.49 |
-8.0% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
25 |
0.213 |
$5.34 |
$1.70 |
+46.6% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
5 |
0.972 |
$4.86 |
$0.31 |
+6.8% |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
12 |
0.410 |
$4.75 |
$0.35 |
+7.9% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.886 |
$4.44 |
$0.44 |
+11.0% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
No |
5 |
0.875 |
$4.38 |
$0.23 |
+5.4% |