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0x81962d4b60e570db68de998ae77a35d07822ab69
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$659
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$19
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+40.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
57%
24W / 18L · 9 open
Win Return (30d)
53%
27W / 24L
Trades (30d)
51
across 12 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$73.25
avg win $150 · loss $81
Profit Factor
3.72
$902 won / $243 lost
Reward / Risk
1.86
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$11
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,969 · all-time $366,863
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? |
No |
240 |
0.966 |
$231.72 |
$20.82 |
+9.9% |
| Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.325 |
$162.50 |
$62.50 |
+62.5% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
486 |
0.065 |
$31.61 |
$-12.02 |
-27.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
Yes |
233 |
0.125 |
$29.06 |
$-22.09 |
-43.2% |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? |
Yes |
10 |
0.505 |
$5.05 |
$-0.05 |
-1.0% |
| Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? |
No |
1 |
0.964 |
$1.17 |
$0.02 |
+1.5% |