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Trader leaderboard/10KWarrior

10KWarrior

0x818816a0ef909fddd129a022d27b1e2979380667
PnL (30d)
+$88
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$155
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
58%
114W / 82L · 95 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
145W / 146L
Trades (30d)
291
across 42 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$3.38
avg win $86 · loss $48
Profit Factor
1.11
$861 won / $773 lost
Reward / Risk
1.78
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$20
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,891 · all-time $1,714,470

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 58.2% 114W/82L 42 $11,500
🏛 Politics 60.0% 3W/2L 7 $2,333
💵 Economy 100.0% 2W/0L 4 $2,049
🎬 Culture 33.3% 1W/2L 4 $544
⚽ Sports 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 2,000 0.515 $1,030.00 $165.01 +19.1%
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes 3,000 0.304 $912.00 $687.00 +305.3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 1,500 0.535 $802.50 $127.50 +18.9%
Will White House post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 291 1.000 $290.83 $0.15 +0.1%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No 500 0.515 $257.50 $-2.50 -1.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 634 0.360 $228.41 $-159.96 -41.2%
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No 2,878 0.075 $215.83 $-60.48 -21.9%
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 2,023 0.085 $171.92 $5.52 +3.3%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 2,000 0.075 $150.00 $-30.00 -16.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 268 0.545 $146.01 $-72.68 -33.2%
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) Ian Machado Garry 500 0.255 $127.50 $-2.50 -1.9%
Will White House post 0-19 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 100 1.000 $99.95 $0.05 +0.0%
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 1,000 0.090 $90.00 $-1.00 -1.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 200 0.245 $49.00 $-41.00 -45.6%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes 500 0.075 $37.50 $-32.50 -46.4%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 4,000 0.006 $24.00 $-48.00 -66.7%
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? No 7 0.960 $6.82 $1.47 +27.4%
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 591 0.009 $5.62 $0.89 +18.7%