| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? |
No |
33 |
0.625 |
$20.34 |
$4.34 |
+27.1% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.815 |
$16.59 |
$0.59 |
+3.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
19 |
0.885 |
$16.39 |
$1.37 |
+9.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.855 |
$13.89 |
$2.65 |
+23.6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
29 |
0.455 |
$13.35 |
$-4.42 |
-24.9% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? |
No |
14 |
0.915 |
$12.50 |
$1.12 |
+9.8% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.635 |
$7.72 |
$-0.28 |
-3.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
8 |
0.835 |
$6.53 |
$0.18 |
+2.8% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
No |
7 |
0.920 |
$6.32 |
$0.34 |
+5.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
31 |
0.175 |
$5.48 |
$-12.52 |
-69.5% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.815 |
$5.29 |
$0.29 |
+5.8% |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.915 |
$5.21 |
$0.31 |
+6.4% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.920 |
$5.16 |
$0.28 |
+5.7% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
No |
14 |
0.375 |
$5.13 |
$-0.97 |
-16.0% |
| Trump meets with Putin by September 30? |
No |
3 |
0.935 |
$2.93 |
$0.49 |
+19.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
10 |
0.165 |
$1.65 |
$-0.85 |
-34.0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? |
No |
2 |
0.921 |
$1.59 |
$0.08 |
+5.6% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
5 |
0.285 |
$1.46 |
$-0.54 |
-26.9% |