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Trader leaderboard/resfeber

resfeber

0x814de45404c20dd9956737a83f7c8b0b039eb842
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$157
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$21
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+14.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
53%
10W / 9L · 36 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
31W / 24L
Trades (30d)
55
across 8 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$52.45
avg win $80 · loss $3
Profit Factor
62.79
$160 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
31.39
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $24,847 · all-time $4,323,634

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.8% 1,079W/854L 241 $123,491
🏛 Politics 67.6% 75W/36L 47 $7,261
⚽ Sports 20 $3,327
💵 Economy 50.0% 2W/2L 7 $1,050
🎬 Culture 4 $164
🌤 Weather 2 $135
🔬 Science 2 $135

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

123 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 26,029 0.540 $14,068.92 $7,382.26 +110.4%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 18,703 0.745 $13,933.55 $4,287.27 +44.4%
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? No 3,309 0.850 $2,813.03 $503.72 +21.8%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 27,887 0.101 $2,802.66 $-304.72 -9.8%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 10,808 0.259 $2,793.95 $-872.10 -23.8%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 12,924 0.135 $1,744.72 $-308.80 -15.0%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 1,807 0.926 $1,674.14 $140.76 +9.2%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 12,951 0.128 $1,657.73 $3.57 +0.2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 2,495 0.645 $1,609.59 $404.35 +33.5%
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? Yes 2,960 0.460 $1,361.66 $781.20 +134.6%
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 1,399 0.835 $1,168.29 $756.27 +183.6%
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 1,780 0.618 $1,098.96 $114.06 +11.6%
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 936 0.982 $919.15 $299.47 +48.3%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 6,500 0.135 $877.50 $-438.03 -33.3%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes 2,561 0.335 $857.80 $128.59 +17.6%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 9,009 0.095 $851.35 $-77.29 -8.3%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 6,741 0.114 $765.14 $-650.80 -46.0%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 1,374 0.555 $762.58 $144.27 +23.3%
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No 827 0.840 $695.02 $212.03 +43.9%
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? Yes 762 0.755 $575.65 $64.64 +12.6%
Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026? No 823 0.695 $571.75 $53.15 +10.2%
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? Yes 1,167 0.415 $484.19 $-30.28 -5.9%
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No 460 0.735 $338.06 $40.25 +13.5%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes 715 0.440 $314.68 $-57.01 -15.3%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes 3,851 0.075 $288.84 $-125.80 -30.3%