PnL (30d)

−$791

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$172

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-12.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

58W / 58L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

50%

59W / 60L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

123

across 44 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$19.29

avg win $93 · loss $149

Profit Factor

0.72

$2,046 won / $2,837 lost

Reward / Risk

0.62

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$50

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.0% 58W/58L	44	$10,954
🌤 Weather	89.5% 17W/2L	4	$83
⚽ Sports	50.0% 2W/2L	3	$150
🏛 Politics	—	1	$3,553
💵 Economy	—	1	$3,553

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 6?	No	100	0.835	$83.50	$7.50	+9.9%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 6?	Yes	95	0.275	$26.12	$4.33	+19.8%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 6?	Yes	53	0.110	$5.78	$-6.91	-54.4%