PnL (30d)

+$274

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$341

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

99%

72W / 1L · 157 open

Win Return (30d)

46%

105W / 125L

Trades (30d)

230

across 16 markets · ~14 per market

EV / position

+$34.29

avg win $49 · loss $72

Profit Factor

4.81

$346 won / $72 lost

Reward / Risk

0.69

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$72

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	98.6% 72W/1L	16	$28,700
🏛 Politics	—	3	$3,899
⚽ Sports	—	2	$355

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	4,310	0.865	$3,728.14	$-21.55	-0.6%
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?	Yes	1,916	0.257	$491.43	$-223.20	-31.2%
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	No	250	0.358	$89.62	$-48.37	-35.1%
Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	Yes	27	0.068	$1.84	$-6.17	-77.0%
Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	2	0.455	$0.75	$0.07	+11.0%