msrcap
0x7f7b87578fb5625d0ef3d5521ffb3abb7b9568f3
PnL (30d)
+$216
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
85%
93W / 17L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
85%
96W / 17L
Trades (30d)
113
across 17 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$14.39
avg win $219 · loss $396
Profit Factor
1.11
$2,194 won / $1,978 lost
Reward / Risk
0.55
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,312 · all-time $269,719
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
4,000 |
0.875 |
$3,500.00 |
$130.00 |
+3.9% |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027? |
No |
1,559 |
0.968 |
$1,508.29 |
$1.95 |
+0.1% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.685 |
$548.00 |
$44.00 |
+8.7% |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? |
No |
468 |
0.955 |
$447.31 |
$11.71 |
+2.7% |
| Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027? |
No |
169 |
0.964 |
$163.02 |
$10.70 |
+7.0% |