PnL (30d)

−$59

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

63%

722W / 419L · 5 open

Win Return (30d)

63%

727W / 419L

Trades (30d)

1,146

across 646 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.09

avg win $3 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.94

$993 won / $1,051 lost

Reward / Risk

0.74

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$55

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	63.3% 722W/419L	646	$3,073
₿ Crypto	65.6% 80W/42L	83	$379

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

58 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	6,700	0.540	$3,621.35	$271.35	+8.1%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	6,700	0.460	$3,078.65	$-271.35	-8.1%
Will Jacob Misiorowski strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	10	0.619	$6.18	$6.06	+4786.2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4PM ET	Down	10	0.500	$5.00	$0.10	+2.0%
BNB Up or Down - August 6, 12AM ET	Down	10	0.495	$4.95	$0.05	+1.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	10	0.495	$4.95	$0.05	+1.0%
XRP Up or Down - August 5, 7PM ET	Up	10	0.480	$4.80	$-0.10	-2.0%
Solana Up or Down - August 5, 1PM ET	Down	10	0.475	$4.75	$-0.15	-3.1%
BNB Up or Down - August 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	6	0.500	$2.94	$0.06	+2.0%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	10	0.213	$2.13	$2.02	+1800.2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 6PM ET	Down	4	0.495	$1.94	$0.02	+1.0%
Will Dylan Cease strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	10	0.194	$1.94	$1.81	+1428.7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	2	0.500	$0.98	$0.02	+2.0%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	10	0.094	$0.94	$-4.06	-81.2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4PM ET	Up	2	0.500	$0.93	$0.02	+2.0%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	10	0.075	$0.75	$0.64	+567.5%
Will Paul Skenes strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	10	0.060	$0.60	$0.48	+377.9%
Will Cam Schlittler strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	10	0.042	$0.41	$0.29	+227.8%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	10	0.033	$0.33	$0.22	+193.7%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	10	0.030	$0.30	$0.19	+167.0%
Will Logan Gilbert strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	10	0.021	$0.21	$0.08	+65.9%
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	10	0.011	$0.12	$0.00	+2.3%
Will Jesús Luzardo strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	10	0.009	$0.10	$-0.03	-24.9%
Will Reid Detmers strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	10	0.007	$0.07	$-0.05	-40.7%
Will Kevin Gausman strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	10	0.005	$0.05	$-0.07	-56.6%