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0x7f2d790fc41f928b43a38efeb044c3f985bec83d
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$478
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-24.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
54%
33W / 28L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
33W / 30L
Trades (30d)
63
across 36 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$14.07
avg win $6 · loss $47
Profit Factor
0.22
$133 won / $611 lost
Reward / Risk
0.13
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$208
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,060 · all-time $112,826
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? |
No |
108 |
0.964 |
$103.60 |
$3.60 |
+3.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
18 |
0.935 |
$16.91 |
$-0.09 |
-0.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.845 |
$8.54 |
$-0.46 |
-5.1% |
| Will Team WE win the LPL 2026 season? |
Yes |
72 |
0.012 |
$0.86 |
$-9.14 |
-91.4% |