PnL (30d)

−$204

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$131

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-8.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

31%

58W / 129L · 9 open

Win Return (30d)

33%

64W / 132L

Trades (30d)

196

across 71 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$3.09

avg win $18 · loss $23

Profit Factor

0.74

$575 won / $779 lost

Reward / Risk

0.78

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$16

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	31.0% 58W/129L	71	$2,380
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/8L	1	$16

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 87.5%-89%?	No	100	0.996	$99.55	$35.55	+55.5%
CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) <87.5%?	No	199	0.465	$92.44	$15.89	+20.8%
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?	Yes	200	0.460	$92.00	$-9.60	-9.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes	1,032	0.005	$5.68	$-29.94	-84.1%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes	580	0.006	$3.77	$-25.05	-86.9%
Amazon 2026 capex above $220B?	No	11	0.330	$3.50	$-1.70	-32.7%
CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 89%-90.5%?	Yes	160	0.000	$0.00	$-7.40	-100.0%