| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
No |
200,000 |
0.545 |
$109,000.00 |
$9,000.00 |
+9.0% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
200,000 |
0.455 |
$91,000.00 |
$-9,000.00 |
-9.0% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
161,070 |
0.209 |
$33,744.13 |
$-5,341.24 |
-13.7% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
28,734 |
0.184 |
$5,301.43 |
$-1,501.38 |
-22.1% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
4,807 |
0.945 |
$4,542.54 |
$925.38 |
+25.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
10,100 |
0.405 |
$4,090.48 |
$45.63 |
+1.1% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
4,000 |
0.830 |
$3,319.98 |
$250.00 |
+8.1% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,500 |
0.905 |
$2,262.50 |
$1,437.51 |
+174.2% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
No |
2,000 |
0.920 |
$1,839.98 |
$590.00 |
+47.2% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
35,040 |
0.052 |
$1,839.59 |
$392.34 |
+27.1% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
17,275 |
0.095 |
$1,641.09 |
$-6,204.38 |
-79.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
1,400 |
0.935 |
$1,308.99 |
$402.00 |
+44.3% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
1,000 |
0.945 |
$945.00 |
$165.00 |
+21.2% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
800 |
0.963 |
$770.00 |
$126.00 |
+19.6% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
516 |
0.905 |
$466.55 |
$158.49 |
+51.4% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.125 |
$375.00 |
$-735.00 |
-66.2% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
745 |
0.460 |
$342.28 |
$97.46 |
+39.8% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.025 |
$122.50 |
$22.50 |
+22.5% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.100 |
$100.00 |
$-246.00 |
-71.1% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
100 |
0.857 |
$85.65 |
$-1.35 |
-1.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.405 |
$40.50 |
$-4.50 |
-10.0% |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.203 |
$20.25 |
$-29.75 |
-59.5% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
No |
22 |
0.775 |
$16.82 |
$1.84 |
+12.3% |
| Maduro guilty of all counts? |
No |
1 |
0.745 |
$0.82 |
$0.72 |
+727.6% |