| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
80,146 |
0.540 |
$43,318.78 |
$3,245.90 |
+8.1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
80,146 |
0.460 |
$36,826.98 |
$-3,245.90 |
-8.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
6,749 |
0.845 |
$5,702.94 |
$528.90 |
+10.2% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
2,120 |
0.915 |
$1,939.96 |
$-1.72 |
-0.1% |
| Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,980 |
0.979 |
$1,936.96 |
$13.82 |
+0.7% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,750 |
0.990 |
$1,731.58 |
$3.23 |
+0.2% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
1,768 |
0.635 |
$1,122.95 |
$-510.20 |
-31.2% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
722 |
0.974 |
$702.87 |
$-5.30 |
-0.7% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
437 |
0.964 |
$421.04 |
$3.41 |
+0.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.885 |
$354.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
400 |
0.855 |
$342.00 |
$30.00 |
+9.6% |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? |
No |
222 |
0.977 |
$216.78 |
$0.55 |
+0.3% |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? |
No |
222 |
0.945 |
$209.79 |
$3.33 |
+1.6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.955 |
$191.00 |
$3.00 |
+1.6% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? |
No |
237 |
0.735 |
$174.04 |
$3.63 |
+2.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.775 |
$155.00 |
$-1.00 |
-0.6% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? |
Yes |
201 |
0.745 |
$150.10 |
$5.04 |
+3.5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
154 |
0.966 |
$149.02 |
$0.08 |
+0.1% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
200 |
0.740 |
$148.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.975 |
$97.45 |
$0.30 |
+0.3% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? |
Yes |
222 |
0.225 |
$49.95 |
$-16.65 |
-25.0% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? |
No |
47 |
0.845 |
$39.67 |
$-0.23 |
-0.6% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31? |
No |
40 |
0.987 |
$39.48 |
$0.04 |
+0.1% |
| Trump meets with Putin by September 30? |
No |
42 |
0.935 |
$39.29 |
$3.57 |
+10.0% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
47 |
0.710 |
$33.02 |
$15.35 |
+86.8% |