| US recession by end of 2026? |
No |
4,275 |
0.905 |
$3,868.88 |
$1,060.68 |
+37.8% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
Yes |
4,000 |
0.885 |
$3,540.00 |
$433.93 |
+14.0% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? |
No |
3,300 |
0.970 |
$3,199.35 |
$691.35 |
+27.6% |
| Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026? |
No |
3,000 |
0.955 |
$2,865.00 |
$315.00 |
+12.4% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? |
No |
4,000 |
0.697 |
$2,786.00 |
$-127.81 |
-4.4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,000 |
0.880 |
$2,640.03 |
$188.85 |
+7.7% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? |
No |
2,700 |
0.885 |
$2,389.50 |
$697.50 |
+41.2% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? |
No |
3,000 |
0.790 |
$2,370.00 |
$-146.23 |
-5.8% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? |
No |
2,159 |
0.950 |
$2,049.90 |
$1,883.17 |
+1129.4% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.938 |
$1,875.00 |
$356.04 |
+23.4% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
5,000 |
0.375 |
$1,875.00 |
$-375.00 |
-16.7% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.915 |
$1,830.00 |
$120.48 |
+7.0% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? |
No |
2,151 |
0.795 |
$1,709.90 |
$-23.71 |
-1.4% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? |
No |
1,519 |
0.920 |
$1,397.38 |
$431.05 |
+44.6% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? |
No |
1,228 |
0.933 |
$1,146.05 |
$50.22 |
+4.6% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%? |
No |
1,424 |
0.725 |
$1,032.74 |
$172.25 |
+20.0% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? |
No |
1,136 |
0.875 |
$993.68 |
$166.02 |
+20.1% |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.964 |
$964.00 |
$104.00 |
+12.1% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? |
No |
1,044 |
0.912 |
$952.40 |
$89.55 |
+10.4% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December? |
No |
1,000 |
0.715 |
$715.00 |
$15.00 |
+2.1% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? |
No |
730 |
0.945 |
$689.85 |
$18.25 |
+2.7% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? |
No |
598 |
0.964 |
$576.17 |
$20.03 |
+3.6% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? |
No |
600 |
0.955 |
$573.00 |
$517.00 |
+923.2% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? |
No |
540 |
0.915 |
$494.10 |
$56.70 |
+13.0% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.125 |
$312.50 |
$-837.97 |
-72.8% |