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breakingcute

0x7dff73963ab261ee6b673b1af34cef0a09fc1f35
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$36
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
6W / 0L · 10 open
Win Return (30d)
44%
7W / 9L
Trades (30d)
16
across 5 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$36.45
avg win $36
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$41
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,134 · all-time $628,744

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 34.8% 79W/148L 57 $19,607
🏛 Politics 25.0% 1W/3L 9 $4,010
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/3L 2 $165
⚽ Sports 2 $881
₿ Crypto 1 $126

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 3,000 0.835 $2,505.00 $260.01 +11.6%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 2,500 0.865 $2,162.50 $52.50 +2.5%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 1,500 0.981 $1,470.75 $73.25 +5.2%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 1,500 0.865 $1,297.50 $48.50 +3.9%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? No 1,000 0.976 $975.50 $140.10 +16.8%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 1,000 0.935 $935.00 $25.00 +2.7%
Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors? Yes 750 0.926 $694.63 $75.27 +12.2%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 800 0.685 $548.00 $25.87 +5.0%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No 600 0.885 $531.00 $114.00 +27.3%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 500 0.992 $495.75 $25.75 +5.5%
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? No 500 0.968 $483.75 $5.75 +1.2%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? No 500 0.964 $481.75 $72.25 +17.6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 500 0.963 $481.25 $106.25 +28.3%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 600 0.785 $471.32 $288.14 +157.3%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 500 0.925 $462.50 $17.50 +3.9%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 500 0.675 $337.50 $15.50 +4.8%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 350 0.875 $306.25 $5.25 +1.7%
Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? Yes 201 0.978 $196.78 $30.94 +18.7%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 300 0.645 $193.50 $23.50 +13.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 200 0.755 $151.00 $33.00 +28.0%
Fed rate hike in 2026? No 400 0.375 $150.00 $-61.00 -28.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 200 0.615 $122.98 $-1.00 -0.8%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 200 0.515 $103.00 $23.00 +28.7%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.906 $90.65 $26.84 +42.1%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 100 0.853 $85.25 $12.25 +16.8%