PnL (30d)

+$3

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

70W / 70L · 51 open

Win Return (30d)

54%

98W / 84L · 9 open

Trades (30d)

191

across 143 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$0.03

avg win $1 · loss $1

Profit Factor

1.05

$72 won / $68 lost

Reward / Risk

1.19

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$0

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.0% 70W/70L	143	$1,068
💵 Economy	—	2	$18
🤖 Tech	—	2	$18
🔬 Science	—	1	$9
₿ Crypto	—	1	$4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	No	265	0.949	$251.05	$10.05	+4.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	217	0.925	$200.56	$9.06	+4.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	215	0.885	$190.28	$7.58	+4.1%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	179	0.935	$167.04	$15.16	+10.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	150	0.959	$143.78	$6.78	+4.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	188	0.755	$141.75	$8.93	+6.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	143	0.845	$120.72	$10.74	+9.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	100	0.976	$97.60	$4.60	+4.9%
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?	No	100	0.940	$94.00	$6.00	+6.8%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	100	0.764	$76.64	$7.69	+11.2%
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	No	50	0.945	$47.25	$1.25	+2.7%
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	49	0.770	$37.45	$7.58	+25.4%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	No	40	0.860	$34.40	$1.30	+3.9%
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	No	30	0.925	$27.75	$2.85	+11.4%
Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?	No	30	0.880	$26.40	$2.40	+10.0%
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	No	22	0.905	$19.51	$0.32	+1.7%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?	No	20	0.875	$17.50	$0.50	+2.9%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	20	0.845	$16.90	$2.90	+20.7%
Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026?	No	20	0.785	$15.70	$-1.30	-7.6%
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	No	20	0.665	$13.30	$3.50	+35.7%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	15	0.850	$12.75	$0.95	+8.1%
Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026?	No	9	0.675	$6.14	$0.05	+0.7%
Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?	No	6	0.915	$5.82	$0.79	+15.8%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?	Yes	25	0.205	$5.12	$0.12	+2.5%
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	10	0.420	$4.20	$-1.60	-27.6%