PnL (30d)

+$693

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$312

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+8.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

10%

139W / 1,239L · 223 open

Win Return (30d)

9%

141W / 1,460L

Trades (30d)

1,601

across 95 markets · ~17 per market

EV / position

+$9.00

avg win $588 · loss $58

Profit Factor

1.17

$4,701 won / $4,008 lost

Reward / Risk

10.12

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$667

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	9.4% 304W/2,931L	207	$17,688
🏛 Politics	6.8% 16W/221L	40	$3,952
🎬 Culture	6.8% 16W/221L	40	$3,952

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

27 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,241	0.075	$93.10	$-53.74	-36.6%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	130	0.178	$23.20	$5.53	+31.3%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,258	0.018	$22.01	$-43.09	-66.2%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	712	0.021	$14.95	$-28.19	-65.3%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,483	0.006	$9.64	$-46.19	-82.7%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	3,806	0.002	$5.71	$1.90	+50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	3,675	0.002	$5.51	$1.84	+50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,943	0.003	$4.86	$-47.55	-90.7%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,195	0.002	$3.29	$-42.11	-92.7%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	5,263	0.001	$2.63	$-2.63	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,579	0.001	$2.29	$-3.86	-62.8%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,395	0.002	$2.09	$-1.09	-34.3%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,026	0.001	$2.01	$-2.54	-55.8%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	3,825	0.001	$1.91	$-1.91	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	3,596	0.001	$1.80	$-3.03	-62.8%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	3,479	0.001	$1.74	$-7.39	-80.9%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	3,158	0.001	$1.58	$-1.58	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	3,095	0.001	$1.55	$-6.23	-80.1%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	600	0.003	$1.50	$-2.70	-64.3%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,843	0.001	$1.42	$-5.54	-79.6%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,680	0.001	$1.34	$-10.72	-88.9%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2,631	0.001	$1.32	$-1.32	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2,631	0.001	$1.32	$-1.32	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,462	0.001	$1.23	$-22.34	-94.8%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,200	0.001	$0.60	$-1.80	-75.0%