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Trader leaderboard/peter239784

peter239784

0x7d58986f00b3c00e9b24d02f8e35381ca154cfcc
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$694
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$112
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+28.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
86%
61W / 10L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
84%
63W / 12L
Trades (30d)
75
across 7 markets · ~11 per market
EV / position
+$138.89
avg win $261 · loss $45
Profit Factor
8.72
$784 won / $90 lost
Reward / Risk
5.81
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$70
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $8,535 · all-time $3,010,458

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.2% 582W/491L 306 $87,585
⚽ Sports 35.3% 24W/44L 32 $711
🏛 Politics 44.7% 21W/26L 10 $2,004
🎬 Culture 100.0% 20W/0L 6 $447
💵 Economy 40.0% 2W/3L 5 $776
₿ Crypto 25.0% 1W/3L 3 $220
🔬 Science 1 $23

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

49 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 2,172 0.786 $1,707.99 $298.22 +21.2%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 2,650 0.555 $1,470.74 $481.50 +48.7%
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? No 1,000 0.969 $968.50 $-1.50 -0.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 1,100 0.825 $907.49 $-98.50 -9.8%
Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid? No 835 0.982 $820.12 $126.93 +18.3%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 1,450 0.490 $710.32 $-45.83 -6.1%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 650 0.905 $588.56 $14.88 +2.6%
Will Rodri join Paris Saint-Germain? No 500 0.994 $497.15 $93.70 +23.2%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? Yes 400 1.000 $399.80 $79.30 +24.7%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? No 400 0.978 $391.00 $23.00 +6.2%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 347 0.969 $335.90 $35.90 +12.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? No 448 0.695 $311.63 $11.63 +3.9%
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No 400 0.775 $309.99 $38.00 +14.0%
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.75T in 2026? No 260 0.935 $243.10 $-1.30 -0.5%
Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? No 330 0.675 $222.75 $1.65 +0.7%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? Yes 923 0.236 $218.39 $-52.97 -19.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes 7,816 0.027 $211.03 $-78.26 -27.1%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? No 274 0.765 $209.91 $33.90 +19.3%
Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer Split Yes 500 0.410 $205.00 $-5.00 -2.4%
Will Ronaldo play with Ronaldo Jr. before the end of 2026? No 200 0.800 $160.00 $-4.00 -2.4%
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City? Yes 1,205 0.132 $159.11 $-267.81 -62.7%
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No 437 0.360 $157.19 $2.42 +1.6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? No 459 0.330 $151.58 $-80.82 -34.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 250 0.565 $141.12 $26.62 +23.3%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? Yes 200 0.695 $138.98 $0.98 +0.7%