PnL (30d)

−$4

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$25

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 7L · 146 open

Win Return (30d)

32%

40W / 86L · 27 open

Trades (30d)

153

across 34 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$1.20

· loss $1

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $4 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	11.6% 5W/38L	217	$15,818
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	42	$1,496
🏛 Politics	—	38	$2,871
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/1L	26	$1,043
⚽ Sports	—	16	$1,566
🤖 Tech	—	14	$365
🎬 Culture	—	5	$190
🔬 Science	—	2	$119
🌤 Weather	—	1	$112

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	No	66	0.895	$59.07	$-1.65	-2.7%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	No	50	0.794	$39.72	$-2.92	-6.9%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	50	0.606	$30.27	$-7.97	-20.8%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	50	0.540	$27.03	$-1.43	-5.0%
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	No	20	0.890	$17.81	$-0.19	-1.1%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	50	0.298	$14.93	$-0.42	-2.8%
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	12	0.903	$11.16	$-0.01	-0.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50	0.184	$9.22	$-0.03	-0.3%
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	80	0.090	$7.20	$-24.00	-76.9%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	50	0.098	$4.88	$-2.52	-34.1%
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	50	0.087	$4.34	$-1.60	-27.0%
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	50	0.082	$4.08	$-2.52	-38.3%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	50	0.075	$3.75	$-1.75	-31.8%
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	Yes	48	0.061	$2.96	$-1.37	-31.7%
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	30	0.100	$2.94	$-1.90	-39.3%
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	50	0.035	$1.77	$-1.28	-42.0%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	50	0.035	$1.73	$-0.17	-9.2%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	50	0.032	$1.57	$-1.43	-47.5%
Will BP be acquired before 2027?	Yes	50	0.030	$1.52	$-2.98	-66.1%
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	35	0.029	$1.00	$-0.79	-44.1%
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	50	0.015	$0.72	$-0.62	-46.3%