PnL (30d)

+$358

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$965

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

61%

48W / 31L · 88 open

Win Return (30d)

63%

105W / 62L

Trades (30d)

167

across 43 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$29.85

avg win $253 · loss $129

Profit Factor

1.40

$1,264 won / $906 lost

Reward / Risk

1.95

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,216

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	60.8% 48W/31L	43	$33,621
💵 Economy	10.0% 2W/18L	15	$10,186
₿ Crypto	10.0% 2W/18L	14	$9,186

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

53 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	3,671	0.925	$3,396.08	$702.84	+26.1%
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	2,771	0.723	$2,002.36	$51.26	+2.6%
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	2,413	0.770	$1,858.00	$513.94	+38.2%
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	1,216	0.954	$1,159.07	$113.66	+10.9%
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	1,578	0.655	$1,033.47	$518.95	+100.9%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	2,955	0.335	$989.78	$-10.22	-1.0%
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	2,395	0.405	$969.89	$339.83	+53.9%
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	1,495	0.580	$867.27	$188.58	+27.8%
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	873	0.955	$833.77	$83.57	+11.1%
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	1,282	0.645	$826.57	$211.82	+34.5%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	1,221	0.670	$817.80	$248.92	+43.8%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	1,978	0.405	$801.12	$89.60	+12.6%
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	2,651	0.300	$795.16	$138.57	+21.1%
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	1,188	0.665	$789.91	$73.50	+10.3%
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	956	0.745	$711.91	$277.43	+63.9%
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	913	0.740	$675.59	$416.46	+160.7%
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	763	0.880	$671.43	$470.32	+233.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	1,080	0.595	$642.61	$48.60	+8.2%
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	694	0.920	$638.67	$279.56	+77.8%
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	592	0.967	$572.35	$197.35	+52.6%
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	587	0.905	$531.38	$208.99	+64.8%
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	547	0.930	$508.87	$162.96	+47.1%
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	479	0.890	$426.75	$71.00	+20.0%
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	518	0.778	$403.36	$-5.48	-1.3%
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10?	No	474	0.850	$402.69	$18.44	+4.8%