allen114
0x7cde9cc2fc1ff9556b5167aaaa6fc5b3ce0ab97d
PnL (30d)
−$140,941
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$31
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-166.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
28%
18W / 46L · 109 open
Win Return (30d)
73%
127W / 46L
Trades (30d)
173
across 9 markets · ~19 per market
EV / position
−$20,134.44
avg win $1,592 · loss $36,429
Profit Factor
0.03
$4,775 won / $145,716 lost
Reward / Risk
0.04
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$715
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $45,830 · all-time $8,361,616
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US recession by end of 2026? |
No |
11,637 |
0.905 |
$10,531.39 |
$1,240.87 |
+13.4% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
10,000 |
0.375 |
$3,750.00 |
$-2,950.00 |
-44.0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
35,126 |
0.085 |
$2,985.70 |
$-19,686.02 |
-86.8% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
26,472 |
0.055 |
$1,455.98 |
$-13,236.16 |
-90.1% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
9,979 |
0.114 |
$1,132.61 |
$-8,149.44 |
-87.8% |