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Trader leaderboard/shukicarpenter

shukicarpenter

0x7cb68272ff8a6df6c7b01b4825b8f4e6382aa366
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$5
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$11
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
75%
177W / 59L · 32 open
Win Return (30d)
70%
188W / 80L
Trades (30d)
268
across 16 markets · ~17 per market
EV / position
−$1.03
avg win $10 · loss $45
Profit Factor
0.89
$40 won / $45 lost
Reward / Risk
0.22
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $25,862

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 75.2% 503W/166L 225 $4,975
🏛 Politics 1 $50
🎬 Culture 1 $50

Open positions

76 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? No 56 0.885 $49.46 $-0.70 -1.4%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? Yes 56 0.115 $6.45 $-4.77 -42.5%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? Yes 5 0.350 $1.72 $0.90 +110.0%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 2 0.645 $1.60 $1.52 +1963.8%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? Yes 5 0.255 $1.25 $0.43 +53.0%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? Yes 5 0.155 $0.76 $-0.06 -7.0%
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 5 0.115 $0.57 $0.37 +176.0%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 16 0.035 $0.54 $0.26 +96.6%
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 15 0.029 $0.43 $-0.20 -31.6%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 22 0.013 $0.30 $-0.40 -56.8%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 7 0.033 $0.24 $0.01 +4.0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 16 0.015 $0.23 $-0.04 -14.5%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 15 0.015 $0.23 $-0.30 -56.6%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 7 0.029 $0.22 $-0.01 -5.6%
Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie? Yes 2 0.105 $0.21 $-0.35 -62.5%
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 15 0.013 $0.20 $-0.42 -67.6%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 22 0.006 $0.13 $-0.57 -80.8%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 7 0.017 $0.13 $-0.11 -45.6%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 15 0.007 $0.11 $-0.42 -79.0%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 22 0.004 $0.10 $-0.60 -85.6%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 16 0.005 $0.09 $-0.19 -68.6%
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 16 0.004 $0.06 $-0.21 -77.2%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 15 0.004 $0.06 $-0.48 -88.8%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 22 0.003 $0.06 $-0.65 -92.0%
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 22 0.003 $0.06 $-0.65 -92.0%