PnL (30d)

−$65

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$124

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-6.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

22%

20W / 73L · 369 open

Win Return (30d)

57%

252W / 192L · 18 open

Trades (30d)

462

across 87 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$5.93

avg win $5 · loss $8

Profit Factor

0.12

$9 won / $74 lost

Reward / Risk

0.55

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$0

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	41.1% 160W/229L	277	$4,690
₿ Crypto	100.0% 21W/0L	39	$329
💵 Economy	95.5% 21W/1L	39	$414
⚽ Sports	—	32	$209
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	14	$178
🎬 Culture	—	5	$27
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/1L	4	$99
🔬 Science	—	1	$33

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

108 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?	Yes	4,012	0.028	$110.32	$58.16	+111.5%
Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	Yes	1,345	0.040	$53.15	$-10.47	-16.5%
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?	Yes	744	0.032	$23.79	$8.75	+58.1%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $APBC?	Yes	422	0.054	$22.77	$11.57	+103.3%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	3,429	0.006	$20.57	$12.12	+143.5%
Will Sonny Gray strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	882	0.022	$19.40	$2.25	+13.1%
Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	Yes	561	0.032	$17.67	$6.52	+58.4%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?	Yes	2,666	0.006	$16.00	$6.75	+73.0%
Will Sabrina Ionescu have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	Yes	812	0.019	$15.43	$-5.72	-27.0%
Ethereal FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	176	0.073	$12.94	$-1.14	-8.1%
Will Sarah Ashlee Barker have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	Yes	424	0.030	$12.92	$1.14	+9.6%
Will Codex launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	255	0.045	$11.49	$1.04	+10.0%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?	Yes	1,115	0.010	$11.15	$-5.61	-33.5%
Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	778	0.014	$10.88	$-10.22	-48.4%
Will Angel Reese have the highest blocks per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	Yes	287	0.037	$10.77	$2.72	+33.8%
Will Logan Gilbert strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	494	0.021	$10.37	$6.00	+137.0%
Will Caitlin Clark have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	Yes	300	0.035	$10.35	$-4.35	-29.6%
Will OpenAI raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?	Yes	163	0.059	$9.63	$-1.65	-14.6%
Will Chennedy Carter have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	Yes	539	0.018	$9.43	$-2.48	-20.8%
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	325	0.029	$9.41	$-3.42	-26.6%
Will Gabby Williams have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	Yes	616	0.015	$9.25	$0.31	+3.4%
Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	230	0.040	$9.08	$1.00	+12.4%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?	Yes	145	0.061	$8.93	$-0.61	-6.4%
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	171	0.050	$8.55	$-0.94	-9.9%
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	126	0.067	$8.45	$1.52	+21.9%