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Trader leaderboard/pollopollu

pollopollu

0x7c833fe781ef10059ca66f377df07352e45bd800
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$21
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+90.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
164W / 0L · 119 open
Win Return (30d)
63%
167W / 97L · 19 open
Trades (30d)
283
across 14 markets · ~20 per market
EV / position
+$20.62
avg win $21
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $0 · all-time $5,834

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 95.9% 164W/7L 16 $84
🏛 Politics 3 $1

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 12 0.998 $12.32 $0.01 +0.1%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 11 0.962 $10.74 $0.52 +5.1%
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes 10 0.910 $9.34 $0.86 +10.2%
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No 8 0.954 $8.00 $-0.05 -0.7%
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? No 5 0.945 $4.40 $-0.02 -0.5%
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No 4 0.880 $3.94 $0.11 +2.8%
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No 5 0.815 $3.75 $0.60 +19.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 5 0.645 $3.15 $0.95 +43.3%
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No 3 0.900 $3.04 $0.88 +40.6%
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No 3 0.915 $2.85 $-0.08 -2.7%
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? Yes 3 0.922 $2.74 $0.66 +31.7%
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? No 3 0.838 $2.26 $-0.34 -13.0%
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 2 0.945 $2.25 $0.06 +2.7%
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes 104 0.021 $2.14 $-0.89 -29.3%
Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 2 0.912 $1.92 $-0.06 -2.9%
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No 2 0.929 $1.92 $0.01 +0.5%
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 1 0.989 $1.13 $0.01 +0.8%
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No 1 0.951 $1.04 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 147 0.004 $0.52 $-1.40 -73.1%