PnL (30d)

−$439

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$57

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

96%

1,291W / 59L · 874 open

Win Return (30d)

95%

1,291W / 61L · 872 open

Trades (30d)

2,224

across 1,825 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$0.46

avg win $0 · loss $23

Profit Factor

0.40

$302 won / $748 lost

Reward / Risk

0.01

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	66.6% 5,961W/2,991L	4494	$185,217
⚽ Sports	100.0% 304W/0L	470	$15,693
🌤 Weather	91.4% 148W/14L	69	$9,313
₿ Crypto	100.0% 20W/0L	20	$497
🎬 Culture	100.0% 7W/0L	6	$289
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$37

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

23 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	109	0.900	$98.08	$-1.92	-1.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	100	0.695	$69.49	$-9.51	-12.0%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)	Philadelphia Phillies	121	0.515	$62.31	$-57.35	-47.9%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	304	0.108	$32.86	$-21.90	-40.0%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Dolly?	Yes	21	0.300	$6.30	$-14.28	-69.4%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Edouard?	Yes	21	0.225	$4.72	$-15.86	-77.0%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay?	Yes	21	0.065	$1.36	$-19.21	-93.4%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Hanna?	Yes	21	0.050	$1.05	$-19.53	-94.9%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Rene?	Yes	19	0.054	$1.04	$-17.58	-94.4%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Isaias?	Yes	20	0.051	$1.02	$-18.58	-94.8%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Josephine?	Yes	20	0.051	$1.01	$-18.59	-94.8%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Paulette?	Yes	19	0.050	$0.95	$-17.67	-94.9%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Teddy?	Yes	19	0.050	$0.95	$-17.67	-94.9%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Nana?	Yes	20	0.045	$0.90	$-18.70	-95.4%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Marco?	Yes	20	0.045	$0.90	$-18.70	-95.4%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Omar?	Yes	19	0.045	$0.85	$-17.77	-95.4%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Wilfred?	Yes	18	0.045	$0.81	$-16.83	-95.4%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Gonzalo?	Yes	21	0.037	$0.78	$-19.80	-96.2%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Kyle?	Yes	20	0.037	$0.75	$-18.85	-96.2%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Vicky?	Yes	18	0.040	$0.72	$-16.92	-95.9%
Will there be no hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?	Yes	18	0.037	$0.67	$-16.97	-96.2%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Sally?	Yes	19	0.035	$0.66	$-17.96	-96.5%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Leah?	Yes	20	0.032	$0.64	$-18.96	-96.7%