| US recession by end of 2026? |
No |
17,674 |
0.920 |
$16,260.08 |
$3,099.00 |
+23.5% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
11,600 |
0.935 |
$10,845.96 |
$1,018.57 |
+10.4% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
9,000 |
0.954 |
$8,581.50 |
$451.50 |
+5.6% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? |
No |
6,282 |
0.839 |
$5,270.66 |
$448.78 |
+9.3% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
Yes |
4,292 |
0.885 |
$3,798.27 |
$244.72 |
+6.9% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
No |
2,295 |
0.927 |
$2,127.47 |
$183.77 |
+9.5% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? |
Yes |
4,564 |
0.460 |
$2,099.38 |
$-166.65 |
-7.4% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? |
Yes |
3,961 |
0.365 |
$1,445.84 |
$-169.72 |
-10.5% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
No |
1,700 |
0.825 |
$1,402.50 |
$10.50 |
+0.8% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? |
No |
1,300 |
0.974 |
$1,265.55 |
$69.22 |
+5.8% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in August? |
No |
1,141 |
0.595 |
$678.89 |
$-141.55 |
-17.3% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in August? |
No |
900 |
0.730 |
$657.00 |
$-65.62 |
-9.1% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
647 |
0.835 |
$540.40 |
$102.81 |
+23.5% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
1,200 |
0.375 |
$449.99 |
$-50.00 |
-10.0% |
| Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? |
No |
422 |
0.925 |
$390.54 |
$158.92 |
+68.6% |
| Databricks IPO before 2027? |
No |
398 |
0.915 |
$364.06 |
$51.76 |
+16.6% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? |
Yes |
676 |
0.495 |
$334.65 |
$4.14 |
+1.3% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.925 |
$277.50 |
$16.50 |
+6.3% |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.895 |
$268.50 |
$20.63 |
+8.3% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in August? |
No |
300 |
0.839 |
$251.54 |
$-28.95 |
-10.3% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of August 3 2026? |
No |
413 |
0.385 |
$159.00 |
$-146.23 |
-47.9% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? |
No |
160 |
0.950 |
$151.92 |
$12.72 |
+9.1% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in August? |
No |
180 |
0.775 |
$139.49 |
$-7.78 |
-5.3% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? |
No |
150 |
0.825 |
$123.75 |
$-0.75 |
-0.6% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
200 |
0.535 |
$107.00 |
$7.00 |
+7.0% |