PnL (30d)

−$32

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$52

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-9.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

17%

73W / 367L · 165 open

Win Return (30d)

38%

227W / 371L · 7 open

Trades (30d)

605

across 53 markets · ~11 per market

EV / position

−$0.90

avg win $7 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.71

$79 won / $111 lost

Reward / Risk

1.61

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$12

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	16.6% 73W/367L	53	$573
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/7L	7	$22
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/7L	1	$7

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

89 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	8,944	0.024	$214.65	$205.70	+2300.0%
Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	13,312	0.004	$53.25	$39.94	+300.0%
Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	13,903	0.004	$48.66	$34.76	+250.0%
Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	8,406	0.004	$29.42	$21.02	+250.0%
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	4,540	0.005	$24.97	$20.43	+450.0%
Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	4,055	0.005	$22.30	$18.25	+450.0%
Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	8,179	0.003	$20.45	$12.27	+150.0%
Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	13,000	0.002	$19.50	$6.50	+50.0%
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Yes	2,000	0.009	$19.00	$15.00	+375.0%
Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	3,750	0.004	$16.87	$13.12	+350.0%
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	11,000	0.002	$16.50	$5.50	+50.0%
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	11,000	0.002	$16.50	$5.50	+50.0%
Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	8,000	0.002	$16.00	$8.00	+100.0%
Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	9,000	0.002	$13.50	$4.50	+50.0%
Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	85	0.158	$13.31	$13.14	+7775.0%
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	2,176	0.006	$13.06	$10.88	+500.0%
Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	8,000	0.002	$12.00	$4.00	+50.0%
Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	4,718	0.003	$11.80	$7.08	+150.0%
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	1,959	0.006	$11.76	$9.80	+500.0%
Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	6,965	0.002	$10.45	$3.48	+50.0%
Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	2,296	0.004	$8.04	$5.74	+250.0%
Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	764	0.010	$7.64	$6.11	+400.0%
Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	660	0.010	$6.60	$5.94	+900.0%
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	10,000	0.001	$5.00	$-8.00	-61.5%
Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	491	0.010	$4.91	$4.42	+900.0%