PnL (30d)

−$21

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-10.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

38%

5W / 8L · 18 open

Win Return (30d)

42%

13W / 18L

Trades (30d)

31

across 10 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$7.09

avg win $6 · loss $34

Profit Factor

0.38

$13 won / $34 lost

Reward / Risk

0.19

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	35.7% 96W/173L	62	$3,355
🤖 Tech	95.0% 19W/1L	3	$43
₿ Crypto	—	2	$57
🏛 Politics	—	2	$79
⚽ Sports	100.0% 2W/0L	1	$8
💵 Economy	—	1	$18

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	1,318	0.165	$217.47	$67.99	+45.5%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	No	500	0.290	$145.12	$-44.98	-23.7%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	160	0.540	$86.47	$21.76	+33.6%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	100	0.675	$67.49	$0.50	+0.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	200	0.295	$59.00	$29.00	+96.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	Yes	158	0.290	$45.82	$6.64	+16.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	Yes	105	0.225	$23.71	$-15.89	-40.1%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	50	0.261	$13.03	$0.78	+6.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	Yes	50	0.075	$3.75	$-13.75	-78.6%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	24	0.012	$0.28	$-17.73	-98.4%