PnL (30d)

−$1,369

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-20.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

51%

222W / 211L · 2 open

Win Return (30d)

51%

223W / 211L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

435

across 240 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$5.75

avg win $12 · loss $25

Profit Factor

0.52

$1,480 won / $2,849 lost

Reward / Risk

0.48

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$8

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	51.3% 222W/211L	240	$7,564
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$8

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	100	0.445	$44.41	$24.52	+123.2%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	46	0.715	$33.12	$13.59	+69.6%
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	32	0.900	$28.40	$8.41	+42.1%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	32	0.325	$10.50	$5.30	+102.0%
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	34	0.144	$4.91	$3.89	+381.6%
Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	5	0.785	$4.08	$1.64	+67.0%