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Trader leaderboard/fElon

fElon

0x7bd9019211677f5db6e221d6a6da030ebcd0bd75
PnL (30d)
+$1,210
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$48
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
73%
161W / 59L · 410 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
347W / 283L
Trades (30d)
630
across 23 markets · ~27 per market
EV / position
+$151.22
avg win $252 · loss $17
Profit Factor
25.26
$1,260 won / $50 lost
Reward / Risk
15.16
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$402
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $17,102 · all-time $3,879,760

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 73.2% 161W/59L 23 $41,906
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/9L 4 $4,616
🌤 Weather 3 $5,510
🔬 Science 3 $5,510
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/9L 1 $1,555

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes 19,763 0.190 $3,754.96 $-2,673.57 -41.6%
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 6,114 0.500 $3,056.99 $-426.19 -12.2%
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 2,191 0.840 $1,840.15 $437.43 +31.2%
Kash Patel out by August 31? No 771 0.980 $755.29 $57.49 +8.2%
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 627 0.955 $598.67 $64.82 +12.1%
Kash Patel out by September 30? No 412 0.935 $385.23 $18.93 +5.2%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 5,001 0.055 $275.08 $-196.27 -41.6%
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes 301 0.905 $272.80 $47.74 +21.2%
Will there be at least 2600 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026? No 446 0.535 $238.51 $-88.21 -27.0%
Will there be at least 2500 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026? Yes 231 0.940 $216.86 $20.76 +10.6%
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 152 0.932 $142.19 $14.71 +11.5%
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes 222 0.500 $111.00 $1.10 +1.0%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 200 0.545 $109.00 $7.00 +6.9%
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 255 0.305 $77.86 $-0.10 -0.1%
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 22 0.895 $19.95 $0.56 +2.9%
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 90 0.095 $8.52 $-1.85 -17.8%