| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
30,042 |
0.715 |
$21,479.85 |
$2,731.37 |
+14.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
20,000 |
0.845 |
$16,900.00 |
$1,500.00 |
+9.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
37,569 |
0.375 |
$14,088.47 |
$6,072.81 |
+75.8% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
11,244 |
0.886 |
$9,967.96 |
$1,503.63 |
+17.8% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
10,710 |
0.865 |
$9,264.43 |
$2,367.21 |
+34.3% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
9,319 |
0.945 |
$8,806.89 |
$2,265.64 |
+34.6% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
9,440 |
0.723 |
$6,820.27 |
$61.36 |
+0.9% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.604 |
$6,035.00 |
$-1,365.00 |
-18.4% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
5,000 |
0.979 |
$4,892.50 |
$177.50 |
+3.8% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
10,590 |
0.460 |
$4,865.92 |
$915.65 |
+23.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
5,000 |
0.935 |
$4,675.00 |
$1,425.00 |
+43.8% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
10,000 |
0.445 |
$4,449.99 |
$-850.00 |
-16.0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
159,317 |
0.025 |
$3,903.26 |
$543.91 |
+16.2% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
69,995 |
0.052 |
$3,674.74 |
$894.33 |
+32.2% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
3,000 |
0.963 |
$2,887.50 |
$487.50 |
+20.3% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
2,758 |
0.964 |
$2,657.25 |
$257.87 |
+10.7% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.465 |
$2,325.00 |
$-475.00 |
-17.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.445 |
$2,225.00 |
$-525.00 |
-19.1% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? |
No |
3,000 |
0.735 |
$2,205.00 |
$1,275.00 |
+137.1% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
2,248 |
0.943 |
$2,119.99 |
$387.43 |
+22.4% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
1,000 |
0.974 |
$973.50 |
$-0.50 |
-0.1% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.820 |
$820.00 |
$100.00 |
+13.9% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
30,000 |
0.015 |
$435.00 |
$-15.00 |
-3.3% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? |
No |
500 |
0.860 |
$430.00 |
$6.50 |
+1.5% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
Yes |
1,120 |
0.325 |
$364.00 |
$-240.80 |
-39.8% |