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Trader leaderboard/0x7b82CeBa10EB8F06a314A8d84bf6813957198d9F-1767456815278

0x7b82CeBa10EB8F06a314A8d84bf6813957198d9F-1767456815278

0x7b82ceba10eb8f06a314a8d84bf6813957198d9f
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$2
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$7
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
74%
17W / 6L · 35 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
34W / 23L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
58
across 43 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.19
avg win $0 · loss $0
Profit Factor
22.18
$2 won / $0 lost
Reward / Risk
5.55
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $263 · all-time $7,274

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 70.8% 17W/7L 48 $959
🏛 Politics 30.8% 4W/9L 20 $270
₿ Crypto 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

41 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 95 0.985 $93.79 $0.10 +0.1%
Will Rebekah LaVann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? No 77 0.985 $76.07 $0.15 +0.2%
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? Yes 62 0.956 $59.24 $-1.79 -2.9%
Will Phil Scott win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election? Yes 54 0.986 $52.92 $0.12 +0.2%
Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No 52 0.986 $50.81 $0.17 +0.3%
Will Ashley B. Moody be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida? Yes 45 0.987 $44.39 $0.15 +0.3%
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02? Yes 44 0.977 $42.72 $-0.31 -0.7%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes 312 0.135 $42.19 $-7.81 -15.6%
Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? No 37 0.928 $34.47 $-2.12 -5.8%
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No 24 0.990 $24.18 $0.13 +0.6%
Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 27 0.850 $22.84 $-3.59 -13.6%
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? Yes 22 0.985 $21.43 $0.02 +0.1%
Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election? Yes 18 0.995 $18.36 $0.26 +1.4%
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor? Yes 18 0.976 $17.22 $-0.16 -0.9%
Will Patrick Mahomes start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026? Yes 18 0.885 $16.28 $-1.75 -9.7%
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 8? No 16 0.983 $15.47 $-0.02 -0.1%
Will John E. Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? Yes 15 0.961 $14.47 $-0.31 -2.1%
Will Heath Howard be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? No 14 0.969 $13.81 $-0.22 -1.6%
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes 13 0.984 $13.22 $0.05 +0.4%
Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election? Yes 13 0.957 $12.24 $-0.32 -2.5%
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? No 11 0.981 $10.79 $-0.02 -0.2%
Will Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? Yes 11 0.953 $10.34 $-0.34 -3.1%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? No 10 0.998 $9.97 $0.13 +1.3%
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season? No 10 0.987 $9.59 $0.01 +0.2%
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? No 8 0.994 $8.21 $0.07 +0.9%