| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
295 |
0.835 |
$246.59 |
$12.93 |
+5.5% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
297 |
0.790 |
$234.77 |
$-3.36 |
-1.4% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
106 |
0.625 |
$66.06 |
$-7.74 |
-10.5% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
297 |
0.209 |
$62.22 |
$2.82 |
+4.7% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? |
No |
62 |
0.730 |
$45.42 |
$-1.24 |
-2.7% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
41 |
0.520 |
$21.16 |
$-1.83 |
-8.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
160 |
0.117 |
$18.67 |
$-3.71 |
-16.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
31 |
0.590 |
$18.24 |
$0.67 |
+3.8% |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? |
No |
18 |
0.945 |
$16.78 |
$0.09 |
+0.5% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.991 |
$16.03 |
$0.19 |
+1.2% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
19 |
0.715 |
$13.59 |
$1.53 |
+12.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
49 |
0.250 |
$12.33 |
$-2.96 |
-19.4% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
12 |
0.948 |
$11.34 |
$0.31 |
+2.8% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
14 |
0.675 |
$9.59 |
$1.06 |
+12.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
56 |
0.165 |
$9.24 |
$1.73 |
+23.0% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
9 |
0.963 |
$8.83 |
$0.25 |
+2.9% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? |
Yes |
29 |
0.275 |
$7.87 |
$-0.83 |
-9.5% |
| Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
8 |
0.925 |
$7.40 |
$0.04 |
+0.5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? |
Yes |
58 |
0.125 |
$7.22 |
$-0.29 |
-3.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
8 |
0.875 |
$7.22 |
$0.21 |
+3.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.350 |
$6.96 |
$-2.06 |
-22.9% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
11 |
0.635 |
$6.74 |
$0.48 |
+7.6% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? |
No |
7 |
0.905 |
$6.61 |
$-0.11 |
-1.6% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.984 |
$6.56 |
$0.16 |
+2.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
13 |
0.472 |
$6.23 |
$-0.03 |
-0.6% |