Log in
Trader leaderboard/rhinogiraffe

rhinogiraffe

0x7aedab2480df49ee3c1983ec29fc9aec742cdf39
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$223
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$17
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
87%
1,672W / 239L · 180 open
Win Return (30d)
87%
1,753W / 253L · 85 open
Trades (30d)
2,091
across 649 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.42
avg win $3 · loss $25
Profit Factor
1.20
$1,319 won / $1,096 lost
Reward / Risk
0.11
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$271
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $65,012 · all-time $841,085

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 74.3% 7,288W/2,518L 2258 $190,639
🌤 Weather 87.5% 1,620W/232L 606 $16,013
🏛 Politics 19 $1,408
💵 Economy 100.0% 111W/0L 5 $5,647
⚽ Sports 60.0% 3W/2L 5 $667
🤖 Tech 100.0% 111W/0L 3 $5,576
🎬 Culture 3 $297

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? Yes 690 0.840 $579.83 $20.15 +3.6%
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes 727 0.650 $472.42 $15.21 +3.3%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No 459 0.948 $435.04 $-14.98 -3.3%
Will the Republican Party win the NC-14 House seat? Yes 384 0.830 $318.84 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 1,107 0.278 $307.19 $6.26 +2.1%
Exact Score: CF Villarreal C 0 - 0 Levante UD? No 296 1.000 $295.83 $62.69 +26.9%
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No 275 0.990 $272.11 $13.61 +5.3%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? Yes 2,968 0.090 $268.63 $-718.10 -72.8%
Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat? Yes 270 0.935 $252.45 $-1.35 -0.5%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No 614 0.345 $211.70 $-3.12 -1.5%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes 329 0.615 $202.34 $21.24 +11.7%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No 275 0.685 $188.38 $42.62 +29.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat? Yes 726 0.145 $105.27 $-10.89 -9.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat? Yes 599 0.170 $101.83 $11.98 +13.3%
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No 100 0.987 $98.65 $0.25 +0.3%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 100 0.985 $98.34 $2.35 +2.4%
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No 100 0.972 $97.15 $1.04 +1.1%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on August 5? No 97 1.000 $96.93 $0.05 +0.0%
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No 275 0.340 $93.50 $-52.25 -35.8%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 5? No 115 0.805 $92.58 $-4.38 -4.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes 160 0.570 $91.18 $4.78 +5.5%
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No 100 0.905 $90.50 $-2.50 -2.7%
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No 100 0.885 $88.50 $-0.50 -0.6%
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No 100 0.875 $87.50 $-1.50 -1.7%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No 516 0.165 $85.12 $-24.57 -22.4%