PnL (30d)

+$514

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$450

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

69%

491W / 220L · 697 open

Win Return (30d)

71%

1,001W / 405L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

1,408

across 135 markets · ~10 per market

EV / position

+$6.95

avg win $25 · loss $15

Profit Factor

2.03

$1,013 won / $498 lost

Reward / Risk

1.73

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$288

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	69.1% 491W/220L	135	$38,112
💵 Economy	100.0% 10W/0L	20	$784
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	15	$817
₿ Crypto	100.0% 9W/0L	15	$670
🌤 Weather	—	1	$2
🔬 Science	—	1	$2
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/2L	1	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

42 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?	No	781	0.400	$312.60	$-19.84	-6.0%
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	826	0.230	$190.02	$16.09	+9.3%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	Yes	1,452	0.110	$159.70	$-26.84	-14.4%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	378	0.375	$141.79	$-0.54	-0.4%
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	306	0.415	$126.78	$10.81	+9.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	Yes	207	0.575	$119.21	$70.02	+142.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	Yes	1,713	0.045	$77.92	$-25.18	-24.4%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	100	0.645	$64.50	$0.00	+0.0%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	100	0.635	$63.50	$1.50	+2.4%
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	305	0.200	$61.00	$6.00	+10.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	Yes	205	0.245	$50.20	$38.83	+341.5%
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,254	0.040	$50.16	$-5.16	-9.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	Yes	2,780	0.016	$44.48	$-37.00	-45.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	Yes	310	0.125	$38.75	$4.85	+14.3%
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	Yes	430	0.075	$32.25	$3.45	+12.0%
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	737	0.043	$31.61	$11.65	+58.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	Yes	405	0.075	$30.37	$1.43	+4.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?	Yes	920	0.029	$27.14	$-16.36	-37.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?	Yes	3,100	0.007	$21.70	$-30.48	-58.4%
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	412	0.051	$21.23	$0.88	+4.3%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	20	0.855	$17.10	$0.30	+1.8%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	400	0.038	$15.20	$2.84	+23.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?	Yes	1,040	0.013	$14.04	$-4.20	-23.0%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	50	0.269	$13.46	$-2.70	-16.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?	Yes	100	0.059	$5.95	$3.95	+197.5%