PnL (30d)

+$13

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$16

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+8.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

25%

42W / 129L · 109 open

Win Return (30d)

21%

60W / 220L

Trades (30d)

280

across 17 markets · ~16 per market

EV / position

+$1.81

avg win $17 · loss $10

Profit Factor

1.33

$51 won / $39 lost

Reward / Risk

1.77

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$7

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	24.6% 42W/129L	17	$261
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/2L	4	$13
⚽ Sports	—	2	$11

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	3,888	0.003	$9.72	$4.06	+71.7%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	17,999	0.001	$9.00	$-23.99	-72.7%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	17,166	0.001	$8.58	$-28.44	-76.8%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	14,832	0.001	$7.42	$-19.59	-72.5%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	13,500	0.001	$6.75	$-17.24	-71.9%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	3,000	0.002	$4.50	$-1.50	-25.0%
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	1,333	0.003	$3.33	$-0.67	-16.6%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	2,037	0.002	$3.06	$-0.80	-20.8%
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	1,470	0.002	$2.94	$-0.01	-0.3%
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$-0.50	-25.0%