| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026? |
No |
93 |
0.987 |
$91.74 |
$11.76 |
+14.7% |
| Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? |
No |
93 |
0.958 |
$89.05 |
$9.11 |
+11.4% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 6, 2026? |
No |
93 |
0.910 |
$84.63 |
$1.86 |
+2.2% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15? |
No |
93 |
0.845 |
$78.58 |
$1.39 |
+1.8% |
| Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee? |
No |
93 |
0.820 |
$76.25 |
$-0.93 |
-1.2% |
| Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? |
No |
93 |
0.790 |
$73.47 |
$-1.86 |
-2.5% |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
93 |
0.785 |
$73.00 |
$-3.25 |
-4.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
75 |
0.920 |
$69.00 |
$9.00 |
+15.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
93 |
0.560 |
$52.08 |
$-22.41 |
-30.1% |
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? |
No |
33 |
0.968 |
$31.93 |
$2.56 |
+8.7% |
| Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? |
No |
35 |
0.879 |
$31.12 |
$2.80 |
+9.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
35 |
0.885 |
$30.98 |
$3.32 |
+12.0% |
| Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? |
No |
27 |
0.996 |
$26.89 |
$3.35 |
+14.2% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? |
No |
27 |
0.935 |
$25.25 |
$2.29 |
+10.0% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? |
No |
26 |
0.850 |
$22.10 |
$0.26 |
+1.2% |
| Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
23 |
0.951 |
$21.92 |
$0.76 |
+3.6% |
| Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? |
No |
23 |
0.875 |
$20.26 |
$0.12 |
+0.6% |
| Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? |
No |
20 |
0.989 |
$19.77 |
$3.57 |
+22.0% |
| Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? |
No |
26 |
0.754 |
$19.61 |
$-2.48 |
-11.2% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
26 |
0.720 |
$18.72 |
$-3.12 |
-14.3% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
20 |
0.924 |
$18.49 |
$0.89 |
+5.1% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? |
No |
19 |
0.940 |
$17.86 |
$2.09 |
+13.3% |
| Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
18 |
0.954 |
$17.17 |
$1.33 |
+8.4% |
| Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg? |
No |
17 |
0.991 |
$16.84 |
$2.56 |
+17.9% |
| Will Requião Filho win the Governor of Paraná election? |
No |
17 |
0.981 |
$16.68 |
$1.72 |
+11.5% |