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Trader

0x7a1ca689eb453ba783443687c543f827740c73f1
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
—
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
3W / 6L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
27%
3W / 8L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
13
across 8 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.19
avg win $0 · loss $0
Profit Factor
0.05
$0 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
0.26
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11,102 · all-time $945,185

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 46.2% 632W/737L 638 $656
⚽ Sports 27.4% 20W/53L 27 $18
🏛 Politics 97.6% 40W/1L 7 $12
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/4L 4 $1
🌤 Weather — 2 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Antigua GFC vs. CD Marquense: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners Over 30 0.500 $15.00 $14.70 +4900.0%
Antigua GFC vs. CD Marquense: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Over 30 0.500 $15.00 $14.70 +4900.0%
Antigua GFC vs. CD Marquense: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Over 30 0.500 $15.00 $14.70 +4900.0%
Antigua GFC vs. CD Marquense: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Over 30 0.495 $14.85 $14.55 +4850.0%
Spread: FK Auda Riga (-2.5) Ogre United 28 0.500 $14.21 $13.93 +4900.0%
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Huracán: O/U 5.5 Over 41 0.125 $5.12 $3.90 +316.7%
FK Auda Riga vs. Ogre United: O/U 2.5 Over 7 0.495 $3.46 $3.33 +2375.0%
Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks 5 0.497 $2.42 $2.17 +874.5%
Tori FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 1 0.275 $0.29 $0.26 +816.7%
Will Italy participate in Eurovision 2027? No 8 0.029 $0.22 $0.05 +25.8%
Will Trump pardon Young Thug before 2027? Yes 13 0.014 $0.19 $-0.02 -11.2%
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 15–20%? Yes 79 0.002 $0.16 $-0.02 -9.5%
Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles 234 0.001 $0.12 $-0.44 -79.1%
Will Germany participate in Eurovision 2027? No 4 0.025 $0.11 $-0.15 -58.4%
Will Joseph Chaplik win the AZ-01 Republican primary by less than 5%? Yes 87 0.001 $0.04 $-0.13 -75.0%
Nick Fuentes and Sophie Rain confirmed relationship by September 30? Yes 1 0.031 $0.03 $0.02 +93.5%
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by less than 5%? Yes 32 0.001 $0.02 $-0.16 -90.7%
Will Joseph Chaplik win the AZ-01 Republican primary by more than 10%? Yes 32 0.001 $0.02 $-0.14 -89.9%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ENCE Prospects - Map 2 Winner ENCE Prospects 12 0.001 $0.01 $-0.11 -95.0%
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 20–25%? Yes 7 0.001 $0.00 $-0.06 -94.4%