| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
50 |
0.855 |
$42.75 |
$15.75 |
+58.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
50 |
0.825 |
$41.24 |
$23.21 |
+128.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
150 |
0.235 |
$35.25 |
$-56.25 |
-61.5% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
791 |
0.021 |
$16.21 |
$-47.02 |
-74.4% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
Yes |
646 |
0.021 |
$13.58 |
$-143.51 |
-91.4% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
Yes |
120 |
0.110 |
$13.20 |
$-46.80 |
-78.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
92 |
0.115 |
$10.54 |
$-34.96 |
-76.8% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
Yes |
585 |
0.017 |
$9.65 |
$-16.59 |
-63.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
Yes |
50 |
0.155 |
$7.75 |
$-9.75 |
-55.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
10 |
0.455 |
$4.55 |
$0.25 |
+5.8% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.635 |
$3.17 |
$-0.33 |
-9.3% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
450 |
0.006 |
$2.70 |
$-0.45 |
-14.3% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
110 |
0.007 |
$0.82 |
$-0.94 |
-53.1% |
| Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06? |
Yes |
80 |
0.002 |
$0.12 |
$-4.25 |
-97.3% |
| Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
1 |
0.002 |
$0.00 |
$-0.04 |
-96.4% |
| Will Matt Gaetz be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
1 |
0.001 |
$0.00 |
$-0.04 |
-98.7% |
| Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
1 |
0.001 |
$0.00 |
$-0.04 |
-98.7% |
| Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
1 |
0.001 |
$0.00 |
$-0.04 |
-98.7% |
| Will Jimmy Patronis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
1 |
0.001 |
$0.00 |
$-0.04 |
-98.7% |