| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
299 |
0.983 |
$294.05 |
$3.14 |
+1.1% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? |
Yes |
1,250 |
0.235 |
$293.69 |
$-27.08 |
-8.4% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
833 |
0.335 |
$278.95 |
$-8.80 |
-3.1% |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
265 |
0.998 |
$264.36 |
$15.50 |
+6.2% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? |
No |
960 |
0.270 |
$259.20 |
$22.20 |
+9.4% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
268 |
0.956 |
$255.76 |
$6.43 |
+2.6% |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
255 |
0.996 |
$253.73 |
$4.72 |
+1.9% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
254 |
0.984 |
$250.37 |
$1.53 |
+0.6% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
262 |
0.948 |
$248.25 |
$-1.18 |
-0.5% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
243 |
0.989 |
$240.29 |
$4.26 |
+1.8% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
250 |
0.914 |
$228.30 |
$2.23 |
+1.0% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
327 |
0.585 |
$191.21 |
$34.78 |
+22.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
195 |
0.979 |
$190.54 |
$1.66 |
+0.9% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
99 |
0.992 |
$98.56 |
$0.55 |
+0.6% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
Yes |
1,749 |
0.055 |
$96.22 |
$-158.81 |
-62.3% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
100 |
0.849 |
$84.94 |
$-0.80 |
-0.9% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
76 |
0.856 |
$64.88 |
$0.28 |
+0.4% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
300 |
0.185 |
$55.46 |
$-22.12 |
-28.5% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.170 |
$50.98 |
$-32.99 |
-39.3% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
49 |
0.979 |
$48.15 |
$0.12 |
+0.3% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,246 |
0.029 |
$36.74 |
$8.42 |
+29.7% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
76 |
0.415 |
$31.34 |
$-5.97 |
-16.0% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,250 |
0.024 |
$29.99 |
$5.32 |
+21.6% |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? |
Yes |
299 |
0.100 |
$29.90 |
$-2.99 |
-9.1% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,249 |
0.022 |
$27.48 |
$-2.75 |
-9.1% |