| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
28,161 |
0.835 |
$23,514.59 |
$-1,358.13 |
-5.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
30,000 |
0.675 |
$20,249.98 |
$450.00 |
+2.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
15,620 |
0.865 |
$13,511.30 |
$546.70 |
+4.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
13,300 |
0.845 |
$11,238.50 |
$1,139.50 |
+11.3% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
15,000 |
0.745 |
$11,174.99 |
$135.06 |
+1.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
9,300 |
0.975 |
$9,062.85 |
$1,469.86 |
+19.4% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
9,100 |
0.961 |
$8,740.55 |
$1,117.57 |
+14.7% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
9,600 |
0.905 |
$8,687.98 |
$1,246.04 |
+16.7% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
9,000 |
0.823 |
$7,406.95 |
$234.00 |
+3.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
6,700 |
0.958 |
$6,415.25 |
$1,256.25 |
+24.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
6,000 |
0.999 |
$5,994.00 |
$1,194.00 |
+24.9% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? |
No |
6,557 |
0.875 |
$5,737.62 |
$-133.65 |
-2.3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
8,500 |
0.675 |
$5,737.50 |
$722.50 |
+14.4% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
6,000 |
0.946 |
$5,673.00 |
$573.00 |
+11.2% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
5,800 |
0.945 |
$5,481.00 |
$435.00 |
+8.6% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
5,800 |
0.945 |
$5,481.00 |
$493.00 |
+9.9% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
6,400 |
0.855 |
$5,471.98 |
$416.00 |
+8.2% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
5,500 |
0.988 |
$5,431.24 |
$371.25 |
+7.3% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
5,500 |
0.976 |
$5,365.25 |
$360.25 |
+7.2% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
5,700 |
0.940 |
$5,355.15 |
$327.75 |
+6.5% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
5,300 |
0.987 |
$5,228.45 |
$225.25 |
+4.5% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
7,000 |
0.625 |
$4,375.00 |
$35.00 |
+0.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
4,000 |
0.905 |
$3,619.98 |
$1,419.99 |
+64.5% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
3,850 |
0.935 |
$3,599.75 |
$596.75 |
+19.9% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
8,300 |
0.375 |
$3,112.50 |
$-1,867.50 |
-37.5% |