PnL (30d)

−$24

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$74

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

17%

1W / 5L · 76 open

Win Return (30d)

71%

56W / 23L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

82

across 47 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$11.88

avg win $1 · loss $24

Profit Factor

0.03

$1 won / $24 lost

Reward / Risk

0.03

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	16.7% 1W/5L	47	$1,006
🏛 Politics	—	1	$4

Open positions

87 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	1,041	0.865	$900.13	$87.72	+10.8%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	1,103	0.440	$485.24	$134.24	+38.2%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	874	0.435	$380.35	$164.23	+76.0%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	471	0.675	$318.21	$-9.65	-2.9%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	301	0.998	$300.13	$75.83	+33.8%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	562	0.455	$255.86	$73.26	+40.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	325	0.700	$227.63	$103.78	+83.8%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	257	0.875	$224.58	$33.88	+17.8%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	430	0.515	$221.50	$4.32	+2.0%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	439	0.495	$217.09	$2.17	+1.0%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	246	0.865	$212.90	$18.90	+9.7%
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	No	264	0.725	$191.24	$94.24	+97.2%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	8,433	0.022	$185.53	$33.46	+22.0%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	175	0.997	$174.24	$35.96	+26.0%
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	191	0.820	$156.56	$2.46	+1.6%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	132	0.840	$110.65	$13.30	+13.7%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	166	0.620	$103.06	$-17.01	-14.2%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	140	0.595	$83.46	$3.06	+3.8%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	160	0.445	$71.17	$7.77	+12.2%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	441	0.143	$63.34	$18.34	+40.8%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	123	0.515	$63.24	$-21.86	-25.7%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	308	0.122	$37.69	$6.54	+21.0%
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	45	0.835	$37.37	$-0.07	-0.2%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	133	0.278	$37.01	$6.89	+22.9%
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	40	0.925	$36.73	$1.73	+4.9%