PnL (30d)

+$55

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+4.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

45%

636W / 772L · 2 open

Win Return (30d)

45%

636W / 774L

Trades (30d)

1,410

across 52 markets · ~27 per market

EV / position

+$1.07

avg win $11 · loss $4

Profit Factor

1.43

$181 won / $126 lost

Reward / Risk

3.14

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	32.1% 5,970W/12,614L	2039	$17,126
₿ Crypto	10.9% 15W/122L	34	$21
⚽ Sports	33.3% 22W/44L	14	$21
🏛 Politics	58.6% 106W/75L	10	$111
🎬 Culture	58.6% 106W/75L	10	$111

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	55	0.009	$0.47	$-1.09	-69.9%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	21	0.009	$0.18	$-0.23	-56.0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	350	0.001	$0.17	$-0.67	-79.4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	196	0.000	$0.00	$-1.30	-100.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	10	0.000	$0.00	$-1.50	-100.0%
Solana Up or Down - August 5, 7AM ET	Up	6	0.000	$0.00	$-0.12	-100.0%
Solana Up or Down - August 5, 4AM ET	Down	9	0.000	$0.00	$-0.18	-100.0%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 2AM ET	Up	251	0.000	$0.00	$-1.75	-100.0%