| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.977 |
$488.25 |
$13.25 |
+2.8% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.905 |
$452.50 |
$22.50 |
+5.2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
400 |
0.981 |
$392.20 |
$17.40 |
+4.6% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
300 |
0.984 |
$295.05 |
$18.75 |
+6.8% |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats? |
Yes |
250 |
0.895 |
$223.75 |
$16.25 |
+7.8% |
| Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
200 |
0.885 |
$177.00 |
$-3.00 |
-1.7% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? |
No |
200 |
0.710 |
$142.00 |
$-10.00 |
-6.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
170 |
0.835 |
$141.95 |
$-7.65 |
-5.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
200 |
0.675 |
$135.00 |
$7.00 |
+5.5% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
150 |
0.855 |
$128.25 |
$-0.75 |
-0.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.635 |
$127.00 |
$-11.00 |
-8.0% |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? |
No |
175 |
0.700 |
$122.75 |
$29.82 |
+32.1% |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in August? |
No |
120 |
0.835 |
$100.20 |
$-8.60 |
-7.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
100 |
0.999 |
$99.90 |
$5.90 |
+6.3% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? |
No |
100 |
0.973 |
$97.25 |
$3.25 |
+3.5% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? |
No |
100 |
0.965 |
$96.50 |
$2.50 |
+2.7% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
No |
100 |
0.963 |
$96.25 |
$1.25 |
+1.3% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? |
No |
100 |
0.959 |
$95.85 |
$4.85 |
+5.3% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
100 |
0.930 |
$93.00 |
$18.00 |
+24.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
100 |
0.905 |
$90.50 |
$31.50 |
+53.4% |
| Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.895 |
$89.50 |
$3.50 |
+4.1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
100 |
0.885 |
$88.50 |
$23.50 |
+36.2% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? |
No |
100 |
0.880 |
$88.00 |
$-4.00 |
-4.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.770 |
$77.00 |
$12.00 |
+18.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? |
No |
100 |
0.765 |
$76.50 |
$-7.50 |
-8.9% |